Description

This analysis provides a forecast of SOL prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-15 170.940242 187.173489 203.757156 221.936511 241.275065 261.203016 283.260882
2024-12-22 143.932438 168.127278 193.977245 223.525597 256.239689 291.226067 331.345018
2024-12-29 126.303935 156.621373 190.359402 230.374951 276.222715 326.800162 386.494043
2025-01-05 111.203475 145.928488 186.067392 235.297384 293.440832 359.328551 439.018160
2025-01-12 96.044320 133.284380 177.950589 234.502470 303.199516 382.969608 481.579658
2025-01-19 83.588940 122.437475 170.700077 233.636283 312.070451 405.153647 522.451094
2025-01-26 76.972432 118.173317 170.926513 241.446272 331.205976 439.631235 578.378773
2025-02-02 70.759096 113.694671 170.278294 247.698831 348.180107 471.527069 631.568849
2025-02-09 65.664142 110.146720 170.369520 254.545716 365.733761 504.199191 686.066137
2025-02-16 60.932884 106.590608 170.030167 260.513196 382.013418 535.343615 739.001245
2025-02-23 52.526363 96.810525 160.335188 253.175362 380.300710 543.251303 762.523133
2025-03-02 46.265691 89.615175 153.687087 249.450908 382.921897 556.411513 792.574732
2025-03-09 42.006678 85.252173 150.966599 251.210957 393.164868 579.982175 836.884235
2025-03-16 38.515406 81.795433 149.335617 254.370083 405.327027 606.278577 885.200208
2025-03-23 36.586950 80.771601 151.289968 262.728288 424.852387 642.692133 947.341470
2025-03-30 34.267956 78.828128 151.641349 268.630286 440.965937 674.730968 1004.148053
2025-04-06 30.809020 74.469215 147.838292 268.031115 447.661025 693.983978 1044.120452
2025-04-13 27.671824 70.341171 144.087583 267.233905 453.885102 712.537552 1083.270052
2025-04-20 26.553074 69.957928 146.469864 275.939504 474.076393 750.613640 1149.217290
2025-04-27 25.211679 68.985353 147.755482 282.885422 491.738765 785.361786 1211.014557
2025-05-04 24.079021 68.306346 149.456563 290.459925 510.392494 821.667334 1275.271881
2025-05-11 22.870817 67.337577 150.563074 297.048752 527.632766 856.163240 1337.397697
2025-05-18 19.654800 61.645636 142.895280 288.978731 522.392083 858.563249 1355.115754